Is the Covid Casedemic Over?
A lot of people have noticed the rapid decline in reported COVD-19 cases starting on Jan. 8, 2021 (see below chart from CDC). According to an OP-Ed in the Wall Street Journal by Professor Marty Makary at Johns Hopkins, this rapid decline means “Herd Immunity” will be attained by April and Covid will be over. That is only a few short weeks away. Like every one else with “Covid Fatigue,” I am hoping the chart continues to decline and Professor Marty Makary is right about that.
The professor says this rapid decline is not due to vaccination nor to masking or social distancing type precautions, rather to developing herd immunity, heralding the end of a viral pandemic when enough people acquire immunity after recovering from natural infection.Another explanation of this “rapid decline” in PCR positive cases is the new WHO guidance in amplification cycles for the PCR testing. Above 40 cycles false positives are excessive. Under 30 cycles gives fewer false positives. Simply reducing the amplification cycle rate will cause the number of new cases to drop precipitously. Perhaps this is part of the explanation.
Disappearing Influenza?
Another anomaly in the CDC data is the disappearance of reported influenza cases by American laboratories. (See above chart from CDC.) Some epidemiologists such as Knut Witkowski say this is because influenza cases are being relabeled as Covid cases. It seems that there are unlimited ways to manipulate and play with the data without any awareness of the general public.
Don’t Worry, the Vaccine Is Safe and Effective.
Many of my friends, neighbors and family members have hastened to get their Covid vaccine, and then boast in pride they have been vaccinated, contributing to the public good.The vaccine is not without its problems. One of which is vaccine induced immune enhancement for people who have already been exposed to the virus, had the viral illness and recovered with natural immunity. These people now have natural immunity and don’t need a vaccine. If they do get the vaccine, they are at increased risk for adverse immune enhancement. Increased risk to “recently convalescent or asymptomatic carriers” was pointed out by a cardiovascular surgeon, Dr. Hooman Noorchashm in a letter to the FDA warning of:“almost certain immunological prognostication that if viral antigens are present in the tissues of subjects who undergo vaccination, the antigen specific immune response triggered by the vaccine will target those tissues and cause tissue inflammation and damage.” Perhaps this is the explanation for a number of deaths within a day or two of the vaccination reported in the media and to VAERS. Although most have done well, we have had at least one death shortly after the vaccine in our community that I know of personally. Perhaps it would be wise to avoid vaccinating people in this high risk group who are now immune, have previously recovered from the virus. At present in the United States no such precautions are being taken, and probably should be.
Reversing Position on Hydroxychloroquine
Apparently even Facebook has now reversed its position on censoring information about Hydroxychloroquine, an old drug which is now recognized as one of many repurposed antivirals effective for coronavirus. A number of repurposed antivirals such as Azithromycin, Ivermectin, melatonin, Zinc, Vitamin D3, Vitamin A, Vitamin C, etc. are available as highly effective treatment for viral illness. Another good reason to question the need for an experimental vaccine for a disease with a 99.9 percent survival rate for the under 60. If we have effective treatment, then why do we need a vaccine? None of the vaccines have been officially FDA approved. They are all being given to people based on Emergency Use Authorization as part of an ongoing clinical trial.
Conclusion
Will the Casedemic be over in April? Only time will tell if the prediction by Dr. Marty Makary is correct. I hope he is correct about that, so things can return to normal.
